Thinking, Fast and Slow  8690

  • Introduction

Part I: Two Systems[rtoc]

  1. The Characters of the Story
  2. Attention and Effort
  3. The Lazy Controller
  4. The Associative Machine
  5. Cognitive Ease
  6. Norms, Surprises and Causes
  7. A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions
  8. How Judgements Happen
  9. Answering an Easier Question[/rtoc]

Part II: Heuristics and Biases[rtoc]

  1. The Law of Small Numbers
  2. Anchors
  3. The Science of Availability
  4. Availability, Emotion and Risk
  5. Tom W’s Specialty
  6. Linda: Less is More
  7. Causes Trump Statistics
  8. Regression to the Mean
  9. Taming Intuitive Predictions[/rtoc]

Part III: Overconfidence[rtoc]

    1. The Illusion of Understanding
    2. The Illusion of Validity
    3. Intuitions vs. Formulas
    4. Expert Intuition: When Can We Trust It?
    5. The Outside View
    6. The Engine of Capitalism[/rtoc]

Part IV: Choices[rtoc]

    1. Bernoulli’s Errors
    2. Prospect Theory
    3. The Endowment Effect
    4. Bad Events
    5. The Fourfold Pattern
    6. Rare Events
    7. Risk Policies
    8. Keeping Score
    9. Reversals
    10. Frames and Reality[/rtoc]

Part V: Two Selves[rtoc]

    1. Two Selves
    2. Life As a Story
    3. Experienced Well-Being
    4. Thinking About Life[/rtoc]
      [rtoc]

    • Conclusions
    • Appendix A: Judgement under Uncertainty
    • Appendix B: Choices, Values, and Frames[/rtoc]
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